The effects of US trade activity on Forex is big. Factors that affect the value of currency is complex and there’s no exact theory about it. Uncover the history of monetary theories.
How does US trade affect Forex? Learn the theories behind forex movements and the reasons of price fluctuations.
Trading in United States of America has been seen to have a negative impact on foreign exchange rates in Forex market. However, exchange rate differences can be of two types. Changes in individual prices or changes in the level of transaction prices. The latter is what we are going to focus on in this chapter.
Any price can move up and down due to changes in demand or supply. Demand changes because of other factors that affect a consumer’s desire to buy a particular product, like changes in consumer taste, increase or decrease in prices of other goods or services, or the aspects of consumer spending reflected in income distribution. On the other hand, Supply also changes because of other factors, like cost changes brought about by new techniques, wage bargaining, movement in raw material prices or tax consequences. So these factors are pushing down some prices.
Plus, although these type of price movements are continuous, it’s possible that the value of forex market remains the same. So to the extent that price increases and decreases are balanced, the price index will not change. This status quo is very rare and in practice, the forex value of the currency is subject to big fluctuations. So all price structure will move either up or down.
What causes this to happen?
The answer is not simple. Despite putting so much weight on it for a century, nothing much is known about the problem. According to the research and analysis done on the topic, many factors have been identified that determines the value of money in forex trading. Some theories performed better than others in testing time and changing circumstances. But many theories have been proven. If one would be a theorist, for instance, and consider the forecast of forex exchange, markets criticized, economy defended, or the money policy debated, the whole entire currency movements would change greatly. But no finite theory has been discovered.
Monetary forces used to be easy to explain in the old days. And thus the oldest theories were simple. Well, we now know that money is no longer a passive medium for making trade easier, other than having one simple function-enhancing the ease in which goods change hands, forex with regards to the fact that it may indeed trigger passive behavior. Unlike that, asking the role that money assumes can seriously affect the whole economy in many ways. Thus some are clear while some are harder to understand and some are beyond comprehension.
The purpose of this and the next parts is to follow our increasing knowledge about how the value works in the forex platform of currencies. Let’s go through some of the different approaches through the capital theories over time, which are mixed approaches to the history of different kinds of capital theories.
The goods, the state, and the quantity theories which were as popular as before are no longer exciting now. But there are many who claim that these still have huge pitfalls that many are not aware of. It is important to realize that modern terminologies are not just categorizations to be identified as theories; for these many just convolute issues rather than precisely solving them economically hence providing rather useless knowledge to problem areas.